Poll Watch: Behavior Research Center Rocky Mountain Arizona 2012 Presidential Survey

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BRC Rocky Mountain Arizona 2012 Presidential PollLikely Voters

• Barack Obama 44%
• Mitt Romney 42%
• Gary Johnson 3%
• Jill Stein 1%
• Not sure 10%

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 42% {42%} [37%] (45%)
• Mitt Romney 40% {40%} [43%] (40%)
• Gary Johnson 3%
• Jill Stein 2%
• Not sure 13% 

Percent of registered voters who frankly admit they will probably not vote in the 2012 election. 

• Latino: 24%
• Independents: 22%
• Non-Latino minorities: 21%
• Under age 35: 17%
• Age 35-54: 16%
• Moderates: 16%
• Democrats: 15%
• Liberals: 11%
• Caucasians: 10%
• Conservatives :10%
• Age 55 or older: 9%
• Republicans: 4%
  

Survey of 523 registered voters, including a subsample of likely voters, was conducted October 4-10, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 5-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 13-24, 2011 are in parentheses.