Poll Watch: Investor's Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor/TIPP 2012 Presidential Survey

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IBD/CSM/TIPP 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 47%
• Barack Obama 45%
• Not sure 6.7%

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 52%
• Barack Obama 34%
• Not sure 12%

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 57%
• Mitt Romney 33%
• Not sure 9%

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 54%
• Barack Obama 38%
• Not sure 7%

Among Women

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 41%
• Not sure 6%

Survey of 797 likely voters was conducted October 2-8, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID (among registered voters): 39% Democrat; 31% Republican; 30% Independent/Other. 

• Mitt Romney 47% {44%} [39%] (42%) {42%} [40%] (43%) {38%} [41%] (41%)
• Barack Obama 45% {46%} [46%] (43%) {46%} [43%] (46%) {46%} [46%] (47%)
• Not sure 6.7% {8%} [12%] (9%) {7%} [10%] (6%) {10%} [5%] (6%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 52% {41%} [36%] (38%) {43%} [39%] (46%) {37%} [41%] 
• Barack Obama 34% {41%} [41%] (35%) {36%} [35%] (37%) {40%} [42%]
• Not sure 12% {17%} [20%] (16%) {12%} [17%] (8%) {15%} [7%]

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 57% {56%} [56%] (48%) {60%} [54%] (58%) {54%} [58%]
• Mitt Romney 33% {34%} [27%] (34%) {26%} [28%] (27%) {33%} [33%]
• Not sure 9% {8%} [15%] (12%) {7%} [14%] (9%) {10%} [4%]

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 54% {48%} [41%] (47%) {47%} [43%] (46%) {42%}
• Barack Obama 38% {40%} [47%] (37%) {41%} [41%] (43%) {44%}
• Not sure 7% {10%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [9%] (5%) {8%}

Among Women

• Barack Obama 51% {51%} [46%] (48%) {50%} [45%] (49%) {48%}
• Mitt Romney 41% {40%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (40%) {35%}
• Not sure 6% {6%} [15%] (9%) {7%} [12%] (7%) {11%}

Party ID: 39% {36%} [36%] (33.5%) {34%} [37%] (38%) Democrat; 31% {31%} [31%] (29.3%) {29%} [31%] (31%) Republican; 30% {30%} [30%] (33.4%) {32%} [27%] (27%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 4-9, 2012 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted August 3-10, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 26 - July 5, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 1-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 27 - May 4, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 30 - April 5, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 4-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 29 - February 4, 2012 are in parentheses.